Cyclone Debbie likely to cost Queensland $1.5 billion

According to the Australian Broadcasting Corporation (ABC), Queensland’s upcoming budget is expected to take a $1.5 billion hit from Cyclone Debbie, Treasurer Curtis Pitt says, despite the overall damage bill to private and public infrastructure predicted to reach $2 billion.

Mr Pitt said a $1.5 billion loss in coal exports, a $120–180 million hit to Whitsundays tourism, $270 million damage to cane and other crops, a well as damage to public and private property has put the total repair bill at a predicted $2 billion.

The loss to the public purse through damage to public infrastructure and property alongside compensation payouts to homeowners and producers would be an estimated $1.5 billion, Mr Pitt said, on par with Cyclone Oswald in 2013.

The state will absorb that in the June budget and the Queensland Government waits to be reimburse by the Federal Government’s Natural Disaster Relief and Recovery Arrangements.

Mr Pitt said the eventual net cost to Queensland is predicted to be $500 million.

“The losses should be offset by recovery-related activity, including insurance payouts, work by tradespeople, the Personal Hardship Assistance Scheme, rebuilding public infrastructure and a short-term boost to coal prices,” he said.

“The budget will contain an estimate of Cyclone Debbie’s impact on forecast economic growth, resulting from economic losses estimated at approximately $2 billion.

“The exact financial impact of cyclone Debbie and the associated flooding, in terms of spending, that was [compared] against Tropical Cyclone Oswald.

Mr Pitt said the exact financial impact on this year’s budget will ultimately be determined by the state’s Queensland Reconstruction Authority.

The cyclone crossed the coast on March 28 as a category-four system, and subsequent flooding affected communities from the Whitsundays to the New South Wales border.

The number of people needing help after the cyclone came in higher than those affected in Cyclone Yasi in 2011.

There were 72,000 calls for assistance, the latest data showed.

Source:  Francis Tapim, ABC

UK: Climate change threat to gardening

New report from the Royal Horticultural Society highlights the challenges and opportunities of gardening in a changing climate

The quintessentially British lush, green lawn could become a thing of the past; gardeners in the north could enjoy a longer growing season and plant pests and diseases not yet established in some areas of the country could become commonplace; these are some of the findings of a new report from the Royal Horticultural Society (RHS) and leading academics into the impact of climate change on gardening.

Called Gardening in a Changing Climate, the far ranging report looks at both the impact the increase in global temperatures is currently having on plants and gardeners and the future of gardening as temperatures increase.

The report is a collaboration between the RHS and academics from the universities of Sheffield, Reading and Coventry, with input from experts from the Met office.

It is the first in-depth analysis of the effects of climate change on UK gardening in more than a decade – the RHS last investigated the issue in 2002, when it worked with the UKCIP and the National Trust to produce the Gardening in the Global Greenhouse report.

While the 2002 report concluded that gardeners would be basking in Mediterranean temperatures and so could grow more plants that thrive in bright, dry conditions, model projections suggest warmer but more variable climatic conditions.

The updated report has found that gardeners can expect more extreme weather, characterised by more variable, intense rainfall, combined with an increase in dry summers, which will be most pronounced in the south of the UK.

The new outlook means that gardeners looking to cope with the challenge of increased rainfall may have to adopt new practices to ensure the survival of some of our favourite plants. Traditional plants, such as Tulipa, Allium and Aster may have to be planted in raised beds in order for them to survive increased rainfall. The extra height will lift their roots clear of the water table.

While gardeners experiencing higher temperatures may have turn to heat loving plants, such as Aloe or Lavandula (lavender). One major causality of the changing climate in the is likely to be the lush, green lawn, which may be converted to dry meadows, as pressure on water supplies increases.

A survey of more than 1000 gardeners about the implications of climate change on the way they garden, which forms part of the report, provides a snapshot of how UK gardening is coping with a changing climate.
The survey found that:

• Only 2% of gardeners feel that they have the knowledge to adapt to a changing climate
• The majority of respondents are concerned about the general effects of climate change and whether they will still be able to grow their favourite plants
• As a result of perceived climate change approximately half of respondents have changed gardening practices and 79% of people are paying more attention to the climate
• Drought and waterlogging will become the most critical factors in determining plant survival
• The introduction of new pests and diseases due to the changing climate was the greatest concern after drought and waterlogging
• Despite heavy rainfall and the flooding experienced in recent years, water availability is a concern, as rainfall becomes more sporadic – there will be a need to capture rainfall for use during periods of drought

The report authors believe it is possible that in the north of the UK the combination of increasing temperatures and rainfall is extending the growing season, whereas the extent to which the growing season can extend in the southern regions is limited by an increasingly dry climate.

Based on average temperature and precipitation maps, Northampton appears to be roughly located on the boundary between the warmer and drier south of England and the cooler and wetter north.
Survey findings indicate that gardeners in Northampton are mowing their lawns more often in early spring and late autumn (possibly as a result of an extended growing season) in comparison those living further south.
The extension of the growing season north of Northampton could mean that northern gardeners will be able to grow a wider variety of plants that would have previously struggled to survive in the region, including Canna (a tender perennial summer bedding plant that produces bold leaves and showy flowers in shades of red, orange, yellows and pinks).

RHS Climate Scientist and report co-author Dr Eleanor Webster said: “This report provides really important information about the challenges gardeners have been and will continue to face as a result of climatic changes.

“While there will undoubtedly be hurdles for gardeners to overcome, when armed with guidance on the steps they can take to adapt to the changes, we are confident that they can continue to garden successfully.

“This report not only provides insights into the specific growing conditions the different areas of the country will face, based on their unique geography, but it also provides advice on the specific plants that are best equipped to thrive under the new conditions.

“Increasing housing pressures will exacerbate the possible implications of climate change outlined in the report. As a result, gardens will become increasingly important for flood protection, local climate buffering and as vital green spaces for wildlife.

“The threat to our gardens and green spaces from climate change is very real and is happening now. It is vitally important that gardeners have the information they will need to confront and adapt to the new challenges and that policy makers prioritise the importance of maintaining green spaces.”

In a foreword to the report Professor Dame Julia Slingo OBE, the former Met Office Chief Scientist said: “Climate change is likely to be one of the defining challenges of the 21st century and how we respond will determine our future prosperity, health and well-being and the sustainability of Earth’s natural environment.

“But as this report makes clear, our perspective on what a garden should be and what we might like to grow in it will have to change. The good news is that we now have a pretty fair idea, thanks to climate science, of what our future weather and climate might be like. That means that we can start to plan now for the changes that we will need to introduce to our gardens.

“This report provides some valuable guidance, and demonstrates how climate change need not be a disaster for our gardens, but instead provide us with a wealth of opportunities.”

                                                                   

-Ends-

Notes to editors

For more information, please contact Garfield Myrie in the RHS Press Office on 020 7821 3060 or email: garfieldmyrie@rhs.org.uk

Please use the following link to read the full report: www.rhs.org.uk/climate-change

Report authors: Dr Eleanor Webster (RHS); Dr John David (RHS); Dr Ross Cameron (University of Sheffield); Dr Alastair Culham (University of Reading); Dr Claudia Bernardini (Knowledge Transfer Research Associate).

Expert consultation on climate projections and phenology Dr Mark McCarthy (Met Office) and Professor Tim Sparks (Coventry University).

The report findings will form the basis of a Show Garden at the new RHS Chatsworth Flower Show (7-11 June). The RHS Garden for A Changing Climate will present two different scenarios for a small suburban garden, ‘now’ and in the ‘future’. Visitors will be able to walk between them and see many features designed to help gardeners cope and adapt to our changing climate.

About the RHS

The Royal Horticultural Society was founded in 1804 by Sir Joseph Banks and John Wedgwood to inspire passion and excellence in the science, art and practice of horticulture. Our vision is to enrich everyone’s life through plants, and make the UK a greener, healthier, happier and more beautiful place. We believe everyone in every village, town and city should benefit from growing plants to enhance lives, build stronger, healthier, happier communities and create better places to live.

We held our first flower shows in 1820, were granted a Royal Charter in 1861 and acquired RHS Garden Wisley, our flagship garden, in 1903. From our first meetings in a small room off London’s Piccadilly, we have grown to become the world’s largest gardening charity. At our gardens and shows and through our scientific research, publications, libraries and our education and community programmes we inspire a passion for gardening and growing plants, promote the value of gardens, demonstrate how gardening is good for us and explain the vital roles that plants undertake.

The RHS is committed to bring the joy of gardening to millions more people, inspire the next generation of gardeners and invest in the future to safeguard a £10.4 billion industry employing more than 300,000 people. We are entirely funded by our members, visitors and supporters. RHS membership is for anyone with an interest in gardening. Support the RHS and help us secure a healthy future for gardening. For more information call: 020 3176 5820, or visit www.rhs.org.uk/join

RHS Registered Charity No. 222879/SC038262

Swiss Re estimates its losses from Cyclone Debbie at approximately USD 350 million

Swiss Re estimates its claims burden from Tropical Cyclone Debbie in Australia at approximately USD 350 million, net of retrocession and before tax. Swiss Re expects Cyclone Debbie to have resulted in a higher share of large commercial and corporate losses compared to similar events in the past. The total insured market losses for wind, flood and storm surge damages are estimated to be approximately USD 1.3 billion.

Tropical Cyclone Debbie made landfall on 28 March 2017 as a category 4 hurricane; making it the strongest cyclone to hit the Australian region since 2015. The eye of the storm came ashore near Airlie Beach on the north Queensland coast, with estimated 10-minute sustained winds of close to 200km/h. The main disaster zone stretched more than 990 km from the point of landfall, reaching northern New South Wales. Within New South Wales, both Central and South Lismore are protected by levees, but in both cases the levees were overtopped, contributing to significant damage.

“This destructive cyclone caused structural damage by flooding, storm surge and wind in regions close to the Queensland coast,” says Matthias Weber, Swiss Re’s Group Chief Underwriting Officer. “We are a lead reinsurer in this market and estimate that Cyclone Debbie has caused higher commercial and corporate losses compared to similar events in the past. We express our sympathies to those affected and will continue to work closely with our partners and clients to ensure that people receive the financial support they need to clean up and rebuild after this tragic event.”

High winds triggered a storm surge and contributed to surface water flooding from large amounts of accumulated rainfall. A peak storm surge of 2.7 meters was measured at Laguna Quays, on the coast of Queensland. Hundreds of residential and commercial buildings were flooded; several thousand residents and business operators were evacuated from the region. The Queensland Farmers’ Federation estimates winter crop losses at 20%.

Notes to editors

About Swiss Re
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BHP Billiton: Update following Cyclone Debbie

BHP Billiton today confirmed that while extreme rainfall following Cyclone Debbie has impacted access, power, logistics and services in the Queensland’s Bowen Basin, crews are returning to work at its coal mines. BHP Billiton said the safety and security of our employees and their communities remains our highest priority.

The company added that dewatering infrastructure installed after the 2011 floods is working as designed and all sites are resuming operations with mine production ramping up.

The company said: “BHP Billiton notes the release made by rail track provider Aurizon that the rail network remains offline. Aurizon is assessing damage and timing for resumption of track availability. BHP Billiton will seek to manage ongoing access to ports and shipments to customers. The Hay Point Terminal is ready to receive coal.

“We continue to monitor and work through the impacts to production and will provide updates over coming weeks and detail in the Operational Review.

“BHP Billiton has committed A$250,000 to the Salvation Army to provide immediate support to Queenslanders impacted by Tropical Cyclone Debbie.”

BHP Billiton has interests in 11 coal mines in the Bowen Basin through its joint ventures – BHP Billiton Mitsubishi Alliance (BMA) owns nine mines (seven operational, two in care and maintenance, and the Hay Point Coal Terminal south of Mackay. BHP Billiton Mitsui Coal (BMC) owns two mines.